The GSV Big 10: Show Me The Incentive, I'll Show You The Outcome
Here's your weekly coverage corner for the top 10 stories, insights, and major plays in learning and skilling.
#1 The Age of AI has begunĀ
In 1995, Bill Gates released the famous āInternet Tidal Wave'' memo. This time around, heās making a similar prediction on the future of AI and learning. Weāre happy to have Captain Gates aboard the Personalized Learning train.
#2 Pearson Sells its OPM Business
Pearsonās OPM Business was on the Trade Block for the past few months. The āBuy Now, Pay Laterā craze is hitting PE. Pearson will receive 27.5% of adjusted EBITDA for the next six years, and Pearson will get 27.5% of the proceeds of an eventual sale. The āBuy Now, Pay Laterā craze is hitting PE. The only thing that would scream defeat louder is if they closed the business.
#3 GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models
1 in 5 American workers could do their job much, much faster. 19% of American workers have at least 50% of their tasks exposed to GPTs, meaning that access to a GPT could reduce its completion time by at least 50%. Faster and cheaper, but not necessarily betterā¦it depends on the data.
#4 Duolingo is working on a music app
Duolingo is becoming a Super App for Learning. Duolingo spent 10 years building the worldās best language learning product; math and music are next. Wall Street is jazzed about the news: $DUOL is up over 90% YTD. The biggest risk we see is what DC does to TikTok and Duolingoās 6.3M followers.
#5 Education Commentary is Dominated by Optimism Bias
Vietnam has a poverty rate that is 13x higher than the United States, yet Vietnam achieves essentially equal educational outcomes to the United Statesā¦who spends 6.5x more per student. Money obviously doesnāt buy you happiness.
#6 Is This the Singularity for Standardized Tests?
When AI started to beat humans at Chess and Go, people didnāt stop playing those gamesā¦but they prepared for them differently. The same thing will happen with standardized tests. Just because LLMs can ace an open-note version of the SAT, it doesnāt mean people shouldnāt take these tests. Instead, we should learn the secrets from the new master.
#7 Half of Black Students Can Barely Read
We believe that no race is more talented or has less potential than another. So itās tragic to see statistics that show how the system is failing. 72% of Black high school juniors in San Francisco cannot read at a proficient level, compared to 20% of Asian students, 23% of White students, 32% of Filipino students and 62% of Hispanic students. By the way, weāre not celebrating that 20% of Asian students canāt read eitherā¦thatās unacceptable as well.
#8 Welcoming Rahul Roy-Chowdhury as Grammarly's New CEO on May 1 and Noam Lovinsky as Chief Product Officer
Grammarly is one of the worldās most valuable digital learning companiesā¦on paper. But ChatGPT and OpenAI could represent an existential threat to the business: ChatGPT Plus is only $8/month more, but offers more than just super-charged spell check. Weāll see how the new Grammarly TEAM responds to the challenge.
#9 Canāt Read? Hereās a āBarefoot Collegeā for You.
Weāve talked about the three Indiaās: Europe India, Brazil India, and Africa India. This is a major opportunity for 1.1 billion Indians. Giving technical skills to illiterate villagers is a āwin-winā for India as it develops its people and its infrastructure.
#10 Exclusive: Google to win EU antitrust okay for maths app deal, sources say (Disclosure: GSV is an investor in Photomath)Ā
Google gets the āGreenlightā on their acquisition of Photomath. Integrating Photomath into newly-launched Bard could give Google a leg up in its chase of ChatGPT and Microsoft.Ā